Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 194.358482 225.976983 262.457883 307.973477 363.674479 430.181230 516.444512
2025-08-10 150.812725 189.738904 239.379252 308.477864 404.046620 534.452176 731.070767
2025-08-17 127.758002 169.582454 226.741512 312.800709 443.187457 640.567852 977.207111
2025-08-24 110.701997 153.016047 213.992224 311.641387 470.923179 733.964967 1233.678470
2025-08-31 98.357516 140.587701 204.202721 311.595265 498.474734 832.298837 1533.976179
2025-09-07 89.758543 132.181326 198.683945 316.504759 534.325704 953.941027 1929.631770
2025-09-14 79.325336 119.422327 184.173610 303.163335 533.665317 1005.017346 2195.257641
2025-09-21 72.986555 112.373699 177.944019 303.103947 557.827212 1113.389766 2651.418634
2025-09-28 68.023991 106.957938 173.660753 305.691085 587.611272 1243.207774 3238.310547
2025-10-05 66.291271 106.766778 178.438833 326.449719 661.061807 1502.465737 4389.282857
2025-10-12 64.277262 105.807483 181.605314 344.430178 733.005499 1787.407319 5874.421382
2025-10-19 60.705128 101.637175 178.132098 347.669583 770.311640 1991.607224 7249.478295
2025-10-26 57.529502 98.286857 176.647051 357.033330 831.621567 2316.704994 9662.291278
2025-11-02 53.708399 93.372858 171.534014 357.568976 871.226161 2600.734116 12382.468510
2025-11-09 50.745791 89.774774 168.614599 362.756224 926.301064 2977.626322 16457.274197
2025-11-16 47.566413 85.400122 163.453654 361.363410 961.532848 3304.404166 21042.882907
2025-11-23 44.831374 81.637316 159.131284 361.307998 1001.558384 3684.696466 27318.767885
2025-11-30 42.790746 79.089741 157.177508 367.206756 1064.334445 4226.108060 37519.696788
2025-12-07 39.485869 73.597335 147.879573 351.186674 1044.637686 4340.483382 43127.931710
2025-12-14 37.506868 70.748287 144.405558 351.115431 1084.652762 4821.725361 57117.706246
2025-12-21 35.887621 68.526368 142.153103 354.219585 1138.800787 5447.045054 79022.704075
2025-12-28 35.583562 69.143301 146.818933 379.168066 1293.520618 6924.465331 141105.440801
2026-01-04 35.057527 69.210301 150.137239 400.835365 1446.676412 8656.143072 256793.435840